The Monica Foster Team
Menu
  • Home
  • Buyers
    • Close
    • Properties
      • Search For Homes
      • Request Home Search
      • Our Listings
      • New Listings
      • Home Walkthroughs
      • Listings Videos
    • Buyers
      • Buyer Representation
      • Luxury Home Buying
      • New Home Construction
      • American Dream TV
    •  
      • Cities / Neighborhoods
      • Relocation
      • Short Sales & Foreclosures
    • Buyer Resources
      • Buyer Videos
      • Community & School Reports
      • Area School Districts Facts
      • When Choosing a Home
      • Buyer Negotiation Process
      • Housing Programs
    •  
      • Property Disclosures
      • Ready to Buy
      • Ready to Move
      • Final Walkthrough Checklist
      • Homestead Exemption
      • Real Estate Flow Chart
    •  
      • Title Policy Rates
      • Contract to Close Process
      • Who Pays What?
      • Owning a Home
      • Mortgages
      • Mortgage Rates
      • Property Tax Records
    • Close
  • Sellers
    • Close
    • Sellers
      • Selling Your Home
      • Virtual Selling
      • Luxury Home Marketing
      • American Dream TV
    •  
      • Value My Property
      • Guaranteed Home Offer
      • Home Offer Consultant
      • Short Sale
      • Expired Listing
      • Relocation Company
    •  
      • Selecting Your Agent
      • Professional Photos
      • 3-D Tours
      • Home Staging
      • Virtual Staging
    • Seller Resources
      • Seller Videos
      • Ready To Sell
      • Priced To Sell
    •  
      • Ready To Move
      • Contract to Closing
    •  
      • Who Pays What?
      • Remodeling
      • Real Estate Flow Chart
    • Close
  • Raving Fans
  • About
  • Contact
    • Close
    • Social
      • Facebook
      • Pinterest
    •  
      • Social Wall
      • Blog
      • YouTube
    • Help
      • Ask Us
      • Join Our Team
      • Join eXp
    • Close

Realty Blog By Monica

Why a Wave of Foreclosures Is Not on the Way

0
November 4, 2021 - General Information
20211104-KCM-Share-549x300.jpg

With forbearance plans coming to an end, many are concerned the housing market will experience a wave of foreclosures similar to what happened after the housing bubble 15 years ago. Here are a few reasons why that won’t happen.

There are fewer homeowners in trouble this time

After the last housing crash, about 9.3 million households lost their homes to a foreclosure, short sale, or because they simply gave it back to the bank.

As stay-at-home orders were issued early last year, the fear was the pandemic would impact the housing industry in a similar way. Many projected up to 30% of all mortgage holders would enter the forbearance program. In reality, only 8.5% actually did, and that number is now down to 2.2%.

As of last Friday, the total number of mortgages still in forbearance stood at 1,221,000. That’s far fewer than the 9.3 million households that lost their homes just over a decade ago.

Most of the mortgages in forbearance have enough equity to sell their homes

Due to rapidly rising home prices over the last two years, of the 1.22 million homeowners currently in forbearance, 93% have at least 10% equity in their homes. This 10% equity is important because it enables homeowners to sell their homes and pay the related expenses instead of facing the hit on their credit that a foreclosure or short sale would create.

The remaining 7% might not have the option to sell, but if the entire 7% of those 1.22 million homes went into foreclosure, that would total about 85,400 mortgages. To give that number context, here are the annual foreclosure numbers for the three years leading up to the pandemic:

  • 2017: 314,220
  • 2018: 279,040
  • 2019: 277,520

The probable number of foreclosures coming out of the forbearance program is nowhere near the number of foreclosures that impacted the housing crash 15 years ago. It’s actually less than one-third of any of the three years prior to the pandemic.

The current market can absorb listings coming to the market

When foreclosures hit the market back in 2008, there was an oversupply of houses for sale. It’s exactly the opposite today. In 2008, there was over a nine-month supply of listings on the market. Today, that number is less than a three-month supply. Here’s a graph showing the difference between the two markets.Why a Wave of Foreclosures Is Not on the Way | Simplifying The Market

Bottom Line

The data indicates why Ivy Zelman, founder of the major housing market analytical firm Zelman and Associates, was on point when she stated:

“The likelihood of us having a foreclosure crisis again is about zero percent.”

Monica Foster November 4, 2021
Tags:   Distressed PropertiesForeclosuresHousing Market UpdatesPricingShort Sales

RELATED POSTS

  • 13813 Bahia Bay Dr

NO COMMENTS

Leave a comment Cancel reply

Your email is never published or shared.

SubscribeSubscribe to Blog

Recent Posts

  • Classic Corner 4BD 3BA Home For Sale in League City
  • Stunning 2 Story 4BD 2.1BA Home For Sale in Rosharon
  • Stunning 4BD 3.1BA Home For Sale in Katy
  • Stunning 3BD 3BA Home For Sale in Rosharon
  • Traditional Gem 2 Story 7BD 2BA Home For Sale in Deer Park

Categories

  • General Information
  • Home Walkthrough
  • Investment Properties
  • Lifestyle
  • New Listings
  • News
  • Sold Listings
  • Vacation Rentals

Our Social Networks

Our Social Networks

Brokered by eXpRealty

Certified Residential Specialist
Accredited Buyer Representative
Certified New Home Specialist
Accredited Staging Professsional
Certified Luxury Home Marketing Specialist
Seller Representative Specialist

Monica M. Foster

Monica M. Foster
The Monica Foster Team

Houston – Clear Lake – League City
Pasadena – Baytown – Beaumont
Galveston – Pearland – Sugarland
Katy

Main: 346.202.7307

Contact Us

© 2024 Monica Foster Team  • 

Terms of Use  •  Privacy Policy
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services
Texas Real Estate Commission Consumer Notice