The Monica Foster Team
Menu
  • Home
  • Buyers
    • Close
    • Properties
      • Search For Homes
      • Request Home Search
      • 24/7 Virtual Open Houses
      • Our Listings
      • New Listings
      • Home Walkthroughs
    • Buyers
      • Buyer Representation
      • Luxury Home Buying
      • New Home Construction
      • Virtual Buying
      • Market Snapshot
      • American Dream TV
    •  
      • Cities / Neighborhoods
      • Schools
      • Relocation
      • Short Sales & Foreclosures
      • Trusted Lenders
    • Buyer Resources
      • Buyer Videos
      • Millennial Home Owner Guide
      • Community & School Reports
      • Area School Districts Facts
      • When Choosing a Home
      • Buyer Negotiation Process
      • Housing Programs
    •  
      • Buying a Home Guide
      • Property Disclosures
      • Ready to Buy
      • Ready to Move
      • Final Walkthrough Checklist
      • Homestead Exemption
      • Real Estate Flow Chart
    •  
      • Title Policy Rates
      • Contract to Close Process
      • Who Pays What?
      • Owning a Home
      • Mortgages
      • Mortgage Rates
      • Property Tax Records
    • Close
  • Sellers
    • Close
    • Sellers
      • Selling Your Home
      • Virtual Selling
      • Luxury Home Marketing
      • Market Snapshot
      • American Dream TV
    •  
      • Value My Property
      • Easy Home Offer
      • Home Offer Consultant
      • Short Sale
      • Expired Listing
      • Relocation Company
    •  
      • Selecting Your Agent
      • Professional Photos
      • 3-D Tours
      • Home Staging
      • Virtual Staging
    • Seller Resources
      • Seller Videos
      • Ready To Sell
      • Priced To Sell
    •  
      • Selling Your Home Guide
      • Ready To Move
      • Contract to Closing
    •  
      • Who Pays What?
      • Remodeling
      • Real Estate Flow Chart
    • Close
  • Raving Fans
  • About
  • Contact
    • Close
    • Social
      • Facebook
      • Twitter
      • Pinterest
    •  
      • Social Wall
      • Blog
      • YouTube
    • Help
      • Ask Us
      • Refer Us
      • Join Us
    • Close

Realty Blog By Monica

Latest Unemployment Report: Great News…for the Most Part

0
July 6, 2020 - General Information

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released their latest Employment Situation Summary last Thursday, and it again beat analysts’ expectations in a big way. The consensus was for 3,074,000 jobs to be added in June. The report revealed that 4,800,000 jobs were added. The unemployment rate fell to 11.1% from 13.3% last month. Again, excellent news as the unemployment rate fell for the second consecutive month. However, there’s still a long way to go before the economy fully recovers as 17.8 million Americans remain unemployed.

Here are two interesting insights on the report:

What about a supposed misclassification?

The BLS addressed this at length in a blog post last week, and concluded by saying:

“Regardless of the assumptions we might make about misclassification, the trend in the unemployment rate over the period in question is the same; the rate increased in March & April and eased in May.”

They specifically noted the issue in the latest report by explaining that if they adjusted the rate for the potential miscalculation, it would increase from 11.1% to 12.1% (which is lower than the adjusted rate of 16.4% last month). They went on to say:

“However, this represents the upper bound of our estimate of misclassification and probably overstates the size of the misclassification error.”

Does the shutdown of parts of the economy skew the unemployment numbers?

Because the uniqueness of 2020 impacts the employment situation in so many ways, each jobs report is now examined with a microscope to make sure the headlines generated by the report accurately convey what’s happening in the job market.

One such analysis is done by Jed Kolko, Chief Economist at Indeed. He believes the extraordinary number of people in the “temporary” unemployed category confuses the broader issue of how many people have permanently lost their job. He adjusts for this when calculating his “core unemployment rate” (which subtracts temporary layoffs and adds unemployed who didn’t search for a job recently).

The bad news is that his analysis reveals that the number of permanently unemployed is still rising (from 4.6% in April to 5.9% last month). The good news, however, is when you use his methodology to look back at the Great Recession, today’s “core unemployment rate” is significantly lower (5.9% versus 10.5% in April 2010).

Bottom Line

Last week’s jobs report was much better than most expected. However, we should remain cautious in our optimism. As the Wall Street Journal explained in their analysis of the jobs report:

“U.S. job growth surged last month, underscoring the economy’s capacity for a quick rebound if businesses continue to reopen and consumers regain confidence. A recent coronavirus spike, however, could undermine trends captured in the latest jobs report.”

Source: simplifyingthemarket.com

Monica Foster July 6, 2020
Tags:   For Buyersfor sellersHousing Market Updates

RELATED POSTS

NO COMMENTS

Leave a comment Cancel reply

Your email is never published or shared.

SubscribeSubscribe to Blog

Recent Posts

  • Is It a Good Time to Sell My House?
  • How Smart Is It to Buy a Home Today?
  • Beautiful 4BD 3.1BA Home For Sale in League City
  • Home Prices: What Happened in 2020? What Will Happen This Year?
  • What Are the Benefits of a 20% Down Payment?

Categories

  • Credit
  • Curb Appeal
  • Decor
  • Financing
  • General Information
  • Green Living
  • Home Buying
  • Home Inspections
  • Home Ownership
  • Home Selling
  • Home Staging
  • Home Walkthrough
  • Insurance
  • Lifestyle
  • Local Area
  • Market Conditions
  • Marketing
  • Mortgage
  • Moving
  • New Construction
  • New Listings
  • News
  • Parks and Recreation
  • Property Taxes
  • Quality of Life
  • Remodeling/Home Improvement
  • Rent vs. Buy
  • Schools
  • Sold Listings

Archives

Our Social Networks

Our Social Networks

Brokered by eXpRealty

Certified Residential Specialist
Accredited Buyer Representative
Certified New Home Specialist
Accredited Staging Professsional
Certified Luxury Home Marketing Specialist
Seller Representative Specialist

Monica M. Foster

Monica M. Foster
The Monica Foster Team

Houston – Clear Lake – Seabrook
League City – Friendswood
Pearland – Galveston

Main: 346.202.7307

Contact Us

© 2020 Realty By Monica, LLC  • 

Terms of Use  •  Privacy Policy
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services
Texas Real Estate Commission Consumer Notice